Polymarket market

Polymarket UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish 9th-24th in League Phase odds

On Polymarket, the busiest line, AEK Athens, is at 26%. The market settles by Feb 28, 2027, and $574 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 26¢ reads as a 26% chance.

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Polymarket · odds · updated

AEK Athens26%
Shakhtar Donetsk54%
RB Leipzig62%
Bodø/Glimt52%
Porto39%

All 35 outcomes ↓

$574
24h volume on Polymarket
$60K
total volume on Polymarket
35
open of 35 outcomes
Feb 28, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish 9th-24th in League Phase
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
AEK Athens26%26¢$240Trade
Shakhtar Donetsk54%54¢$69Trade
RB Leipzig62%62¢$58Trade
Bodø/Glimt52%52¢$52Trade
Porto39%39¢$40Trade
Club Brugge77%77¢$20Trade
Manchester United64%64¢$20Trade
LASK30%30¢$20Trade
Barcelona21%21¢$20Trade
Bayern Munich41%41¢$18Trade
Show 25 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish 9th-24th in League Phase
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Arsenal10%10¢$17Trade
Como81%81¢$0Trade
Atlético Madrid76%76¢$0Trade
Borussia Dortmund75%75¢$0Trade
Inter Milan75%75¢$0Trade
Roma73%73¢$0Trade
Sporting CP71%71¢$0Trade
Napoli70%70¢$0Trade
Villarreal69%69¢$0Trade
VfB Stuttgart63%63¢$0Trade
Real Betis62%62¢$0Trade
PSV Eindhoven62%62¢$0Trade
Galatasaray56%56¢$0Trade
Aston Villa53%53¢$0Trade
Feyenoord53%53¢$0Trade
Manchester City43%43¢$0Trade
Lens38%38¢$0Trade
Fenerbahçe34%34¢$0Trade
Liverpool19%19¢$0Trade
Lille15%15¢$0Trade
Viking12%12¢$0Trade
Paris Saint-Germain10%10¢$0Trade
Slavia Prague8%8¢$0Trade
Real Madrid5%5¢$0Trade
Slovan Bratislava2%2¢$0Trade
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Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 26¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · AEK Athens
26%▲ 9.5 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1817% – 47% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 9th through 24th, inclusive, in the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered.

If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 9th through 24th in the league phase (e.g. they clinch a place in the top 8, or they are mathematically unable to finish above 25th), this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Feb 28, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 26¢ for AEK Athens right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish 9th-24th in League Phase?

On Polymarket, the busiest line, AEK Athens, is at 26%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.