Polymarket market

Polymarket UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters odds

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Milan, is at 39%. The market settles by Mar 20, 2027, and $24 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 39¢ reads as a 39% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

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Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Milan39%
Bournemouth65%
Bayer Leverkusen72%
Juventus62%
Crystal Palace40%

All 13 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Kalshi: 2 questions compared ↓

$24
24h volume on Polymarket
$30K
total volume on Polymarket
13
open of 13 outcomes
Mar 20, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Milan39%39¢$20Trade
Bournemouth65%65¢$4Trade
Bayer Leverkusen72%72¢$0Trade
Juventus62%62¢$0Trade
Crystal Palace40%40¢$0Trade
Real Sociedad40%40¢$0Trade
Sunderland38%38¢$0Trade
Rennes33%33¢$0Trade
Celta Vigo25%25¢$0Trade
AZ21%21¢$0Trade
Show 3 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
TSG Hoffenheim compare 21%21¢$0Trade
Marseille compare 15%15¢$0Trade
Torreense4%4¢$0Trade
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Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 39¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions

The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Will TSG Hoffenheim reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?

Yes: Will TSG Hoffenheim reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents21¢80¢0.8¢$0$3KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus1¢99¢0.1¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Will Marseille reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?

Yes: Will Marseille reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents15¢85¢0.6¢$0$1KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus2¢cheapest to buy99¢0.1¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Milan
39%▼ 12.0 pts since Oct 19
Yes price
Oct 1923% – 51% scaleOct 26

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League quarterfinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2027 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Mar 20, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 39¢ for Milan right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters?

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Milan, is at 39%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 2 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.