Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December? Polymarket odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, T1, is at 31%. The market settles by Nov 30, 2026, and $136 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 31¢ reads as a 31% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T1 | 31% | 31¢ | $30 | Trade |
| NONGSHIM RED FORCE | 97% | 97¢ | $25 | Trade |
| Team Heretics | 96% | 96¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Fnatic | 96% | 96¢ | $0 | Trade |
| THUNDER TALK GAMING | 93% | 93¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Hanwha Life Esports | 91% | 91¢ | $0 | Trade |
| BNK FEARX | 90% | 90¢ | $0 | Trade |
| GIANTX | 89% | 89¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS | 88% | 88¢ | $0 | Trade |
| DN SOOPers | 87% | 87¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WeiboGaming | 83% | 83¢ | $0 | Trade |
| LGD GAMING | 67% | 67¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Anyone's Legend | 59% | 59¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Xi'an Team WE | 58% | 58¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Gen.G Esports | 57% | 57¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Movistar KOI | 56% | 56¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Shifters | 49% | 49¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Suzhou LNG Esports | 43% | 43¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Dplus KIA | 43% | 43¢ | $0 | Trade |
| kt Rolster | 99% | 99¢ | $0 | Trade |
| HANJIN BRION | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Vivo Keyd Stars | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| LOUD | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| paiN Gaming | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Team Liquid | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Invictus Gaming | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| LØS | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Cloud9 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| RED Canids | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| FlyQuest | – | – | $20 | Trade |
| Shopify Rebellion | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| SK Gaming | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Natus Vincere | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Disguised | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| EDWARD GAMING | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Sentinels | – | – | $62 | Trade |
| LEVIATÁN | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Karmine Corp | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| FURIA | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| G2 Esports | – | – | $0 | Trade |
8 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 31¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page) by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.
A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 30, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 31¢ for T1 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on “Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?”?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, T1, is at 31%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.
