Polymarket market

Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December? Polymarket odds

On Polymarket, the busiest line, T1, is at 31%. The market settles by Nov 30, 2026, and $136 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 31¢ reads as a 31% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.

Trade on Polymarket

Polymarket · odds · updated

T131%
NONGSHIM RED FORCE97%
Team Heretics96%
Fnatic96%
THUNDER TALK GAMING93%

All 48 outcomes ↓

$136
24h volume on Polymarket
$22K
total volume on Polymarket
20
open of 48 outcomes
Nov 30, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
T131%31¢$30Trade
NONGSHIM RED FORCE97%97¢$25Trade
Team Heretics96%96¢$0Trade
Fnatic96%96¢$0Trade
THUNDER TALK GAMING93%93¢$0Trade
Hanwha Life Esports91%91¢$0Trade
BNK FEARX90%90¢$0Trade
GIANTX89%89¢$0Trade
Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS88%88¢$0Trade
DN SOOPers87%87¢$0Trade
Show 30 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
WeiboGaming83%83¢$0Trade
LGD GAMING67%67¢$0Trade
Anyone's Legend59%59¢$0Trade
Xi'an Team WE58%58¢$0Trade
Gen.G Esports57%57¢$0Trade
Movistar KOI56%56¢$0Trade
Shifters49%49¢$0Trade
Suzhou LNG Esports43%43¢$0Trade
Dplus KIA43%43¢$0Trade
kt Rolster99%99¢$0Trade
HANJIN BRION––$0Trade
Vivo Keyd Stars––$0Trade
LOUD––$0Trade
paiN Gaming––$0Trade
Team Liquid––$0Trade
Invictus Gaming––$0Trade
LØS––$0Trade
Cloud9––$0Trade
RED Canids––$0Trade
FlyQuest––$20Trade
Shopify Rebellion––$0Trade
SK Gaming––$0Trade
Natus Vincere––$0Trade
Disguised––$0Trade
EDWARD GAMING––$0Trade
Sentinels––$62Trade
LEVIATÁN––$0Trade
Karmine Corp––$0Trade
FURIA––$0Trade
G2 Esports––$0Trade

8 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 31¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · T1
31%▼ 9.0 pts since Sep 28
Yes price
Sep 2828% – 44% scaleOct 5

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page) by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.

A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Nov 30, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 31¢ for T1 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on “Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?”?

On Polymarket, the busiest line, T1, is at 31%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.