Will insani leave MIBR before 2027? Polymarket odds
On Polymarket, Yes trades at 36%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $385 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 36¢ reads as a 36% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 36¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if insani leaves MIBR's active Counter-Strike 2 lineup between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, insani is considered to have "left" if he is no longer listed with the status "Starter" in the "Players of MIBR" table on HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/team/9215/mibr). This includes a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive or reserve status, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup. As of market creation, insani is listed as a Starter for MIBR.
A qualifying change must occur within this market's timeframe and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.
An official announcement within this market's timeframe by MIBR or insani that insani has left, or will leave, MIBR's active lineup will also resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the departure takes effect.
A name change or alias referring to the same player does not count as leaving. A temporary absence for a single match or event, while insani remains listed as a Starter, does not count. If MIBR disbands or releases its entire Counter-Strike 2 roster within this market's timeframe, this will count as insani leaving.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 36¢ for Yes right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on “Will insani leave MIBR before 2027?”?
On Polymarket, Yes trades at 36%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.