Polymarket market

Will Team Aurora Make a Roster Change by December 31? Polymarket odds

On Polymarket, Yes trades at 27%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $38 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 27¢ reads as a 27% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.

Trade on Polymarket

Polymarket · odds · updated 11:27 UTC

Yes27%

No73%

$38

24h volume on Polymarket

$775

total volume on Polymarket

open of 2 outcomes

Dec 31, 2026

settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Will Team Aurora Make a Roster Change by December 31?
Outcome	Chance	Yes price	24h volume
Yes	27%	27¢	$38	Trade
No	73%	73¢	–	Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 27¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Will Team Aurora Make a Roster Change by December 31

27%▼ 8.0 pts since Sep 28

Yes price

Sep 2826% – 42% scaleOct 5

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 27¢ for Yes right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.

Trade on Polymarket Polymarket review

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.