Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November? Polymarket odds
On Polymarket, Yes trades at 6%. The market settles by Oct 31, 2026, and $20 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 6¢ reads as a 6% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 6¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve adds sticker trade-ups to Counter-Strike 2 (CS2) by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, "sticker trade-ups" is defined as an officially supported in-game mechanic that allows players to combine or exchange multiple stickers to receive a higher-tier sticker. The feature must be fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client.
If the feature is added as a limited-time, temporary, or beta mechanic that is reversed or removed within 48 hours of its introduction, this market will resolve to "No." This market will remain open for 48 hours after a qualifying feature is released.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Oct 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 6¢ for Yes right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on “Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?”?
On Polymarket, Yes trades at 6%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.