Polymarket market

Polymarket Worlds 2026: Team to Reach Knockout Stage odds

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Dplus KIA, is at 93%. The market settles by Dec 14, 2026, and $6K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 93¢ reads as a 93% chance.

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Polymarket · odds · updated

Dplus KIA93%
LYON53%
T192%
CTBC Flying Oyster9%
LOS6%

All 18 outcomes ↓

$6K
24h volume on Polymarket
$34K
total volume on Polymarket
15
open of 18 outcomes
Dec 14, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Worlds 2026: Team to Reach Knockout Stage
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Dplus KIA93%93¢$957Trade
LYON53%53¢$640Trade
T192%92¢$631Trade
CTBC Flying Oyster9%9¢$573Trade
LOS6%6¢$440Trade
Bilibili Gaming79%79¢$377Trade
Anyone's Legend39%39¢$347Trade
Karmine Corp67%67¢$317Trade
Invictus Gaming49%49¢$255Trade
Movistar KOI63%63¢$230Trade
Show 8 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of Worlds 2026: Team to Reach Knockout Stage
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Hanwha Life Esports92%92¢$221Trade
Team Secret Whales4%4¢$193Trade
Team Liquid12%12¢$183Trade
G2 Esports58%58¢$147Trade
Gen.G98%98¢$195Trade
Top Esports––$479Trade
Cloud9Final0%0¢$0
FURIAFinal0%0¢$0
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 93¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Dplus KIA
93%▲ 31.5 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1861% – 94% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Knockout Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Knockout Stage scheduled to begin on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A team reaches the Knockout Stage if it is officially confirmed as one of the eight teams advancing from the Swiss Stage (scheduled for October 23 to October 31, 2026) to the Knockout Stage, per official tournament rules.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage (e.g. it is eliminated in the Play-In or the Swiss Stage, or withdraws from the tournament), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If Worlds 2026 is canceled, postponed after December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Knockout Stage participants have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Dec 14, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket app review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 93¢ for Dplus KIA right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on Worlds 2026: Team to Reach Knockout Stage?

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Dplus KIA, is at 93%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.