Polymarket marketStarts Mon, Oct 26, 10:00pm ET

Polymarket Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Leylah Fernandez, at 80%. The market settles by Nov 2, 2026, and $15K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 80¢ reads as an 80% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Leylah Fernandez80%
Set 1 Winner · Leylah Fernandez77%
Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Leylah Fernandez -1.562%
Set 1 O/U 8.5 · Over57%
Total Sets: O/U 2.5 · Under 2.573%

All 16 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

$15K
24h volume on Polymarket
$15K
total volume on Polymarket
6
open of 16 outcomes
Nov 2, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Leylah Fernandez compare 80%80¢$15KTrade
Set 1 Winner · Leylah Fernandez77%77¢$0Trade
Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Leylah Fernandez -1.562%62¢$0Trade
Set 1 O/U 8.5 · Over57%57¢$0Trade
Total Sets: O/U 2.5 · Under 2.573%73¢$0Trade
Set 1 O/U 10.5 · Under80%80¢$0Trade
Match O/U 23.5––$0Trade
Match O/U 21.5––$0Trade
Match O/U 22.5––$0Trade
Completed Match––$0Trade
Show 6 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Set 2 Winner––$0Trade
Game Spread +/-2.5––$0Trade
Set 1 O/U 9.5––$0Trade
Set 2 O/U 9.5––$0Trade
Set 2 O/U 8.5––$0Trade
Set 2 O/U 10.5––$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 80¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Leylah Fernandez: Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueLeylah FernandezHimeno SakatsumeFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents80¢cheapest to buy21¢0.8¢$15K$16KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus82¢19¢cheapest to buy1.1¢$2K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Leylah Fernandez
80%▼ 3.5 pts since Oct 25
Yes price
Oct 2571% – 83% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Leylah Fernandez and Himeno Sakatsume in the Pan Pacific Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Himeno Sakatsume.

This market will resolve to 'Himeno Sakatsume' if Himeno Sakatsume advances against Leylah Fernandez.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Nov 2, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 80¢ for Leylah Fernandez right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Leylah Fernandez, at 80%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.