Polymarket marketStarts Mon, Oct 26, 12:30am ET

Polymarket Pan Pacific Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Elise Mertens, at 85%. The market settles by Nov 2, 2026, and $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 85¢ reads as an 85% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

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Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Elise Mertens85%
Game Spread +/-5.5 · Moyuka Uchijima +5.551%
Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Elise Mertens -1.565%
Set 1 O/U 8.5 · Over65%
Set 1 O/U 9.5 · Under62%

All 16 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

$2K
24h volume on Polymarket
$2K
total volume on Polymarket
10
open of 16 outcomes
Nov 2, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Pan Pacific Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Elise Mertens compare 85%85¢$2KTrade
Game Spread +/-5.5 · Moyuka Uchijima +5.551%51¢$12Trade
Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Elise Mertens -1.565%65¢$0Trade
Set 1 O/U 8.5 · Over65%65¢$0Trade
Set 1 O/U 9.5 · Under62%62¢$0Trade
Match O/U 21.5 · Under63%63¢$0Trade
Match O/U 23.5 · Under64%64¢$0Trade
Total Sets: O/U 2.5 · Under 2.573%73¢$0Trade
Set 1 Winner · Elise Mertens78%78¢$0Trade
Set 1 O/U 10.5 · Under82%82¢$0Trade
Show 6 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of Pan Pacific Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Completed Match––$0Trade
Set 2 O/U 8.5––$0Trade
Set 2 O/U 10.5––$0Trade
Set 2 O/U 9.5––$0Trade
Set 2 Winner––$0Trade
Match O/U 22.5––$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 85¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Moyuka Uchijima: Pan Pacific Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueMoyuka UchijimaElise MertensFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents15¢cheapest to buy85¢cheapest to buy0.6¢$2K$16KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus16¢86¢0.9¢$3K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Elise Mertens
85%▲ 6.0 pts since Oct 25
Yes price
Oct 2575% – 89% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Moyuka Uchijima and Elise Mertens in the Pan Pacific Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Moyuka Uchijima' if Moyuka Uchijima advances against Elise Mertens.

This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Moyuka Uchijima.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Nov 2, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 85¢ for Elise Mertens right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on Pan Pacific Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Elise Mertens, at 85%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.