Kalshi Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026 odds
Nothing on this question is priced on Kalshi now that trading has closed. Trading has closed; the result settles the contracts. The settlement rules below say what decided the result. The prices are kept as a record of where the market closed, not as odds to trade.
How this market settled
The contract is “Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026”. A Yes contract pays $1 if the answer is yes, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
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Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026?
No outcome is priced on Kalshi right now.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
Trading has ended on Kalshi. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues in general.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.