AI, tech and science prediction markets
AI and tech prediction markets price the best AI model, product launches and how often SpaceX flies. 409 tech and science questions are trading on Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi, led by “Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?”. Most settle on a public ranking or announcement. The busiest are listed first.
Updated
Most traded tech & science markets
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Jan 1, 2027
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Polymarket · resolves Oct 31, 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Kalshi · resolves Dec 31, 2026
Best AI at the end of 2026
Tech & Science markets priced on both venues
The busiest tech & science markets two or more venues list. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Chance of Yes
7¢ cheaper on PolymarketResolves Dec 31, 2026
GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?
Chance of Yes
3¢ cheaper on KalshiResolves Dec 31, 2027
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?
Chance of Yes
1¢ cheaper on KalshiResolves Dec 31, 2026
Every tech & science market, priced
Chance is the favourite's price on a board of outcomes, the favoured side of a match, or the named market's Yes price, on its venue.
Tech & Science markets closing this week
Polymarket or Kalshi for tech markets?
Open tech and science events right now: 230 on Polymarket, 4 on Polymarket US and 175 on Kalshi.
Kalshi runs weekly AI ranking and market-share markets. Polymarket prices model releases and company milestones.
- Regulated
- International exchange; US residents trade on Polymarket US
- You fund with
- Crypto, held as pUSD (Polygon)
- Open tech & science markets
- 230 markets
- Fees
- Polymarket's fees
- Regulated
- CFTC-designated exchange (QCX LLC)
- You fund with
- Debit card, ACH, wire
- Open tech & science markets
- 4 markets
- Fees
- Polymarket US's fees
- Regulated
- CFTC-designated exchange
- You fund with
- ACH, RTP, debit card and 7 more
- Open tech & science markets
- 175 markets
- Fees
- Kalshi's fees
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Check your state before you sign up · Kalshi vs Polymarket in full · Best prediction market apps
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What tech markets you can trade
AI leads this category. The busiest markets ask which company tops a public model ranking at a set date.
- Which company has the top AI model at month or year end
- When a model or product is released
- How many launches SpaceX makes in a month
- Science milestones and company announcements
What moves tech odds
A new model release moves ranking markets overnight. Launch markets move with each scrub or slip.
Read the rules closely here. The named ranking or source decides the market, not the headlines.
More tech & science markets
Other categories
Common questions
What are AI prediction markets?
Markets on AI outcomes, such as which company has the best model or when a model ships. Each price reads as a probability.
How is the best AI model decided?
By the public ranking the market's rules name, read at the deadline. Check which ranking before you trade.
Are tech markets busy?
Some are, most are not. AI ranking markets draw the most. Check the 24-hour volume before you read much into a price.
Can I trade tech markets in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US or Kalshi. Check your state for any action against specific contracts.