Bitcoin Faces $80,400 Support Test as October Performance Falls Behind Historical Trends

Bitcoin approached the $80,400 support level as October losses widened, falling below its opening price of $83,576. According to CryptoQuant analyst Andrew Kamsky, Bitcoin traded near $80,867 on October 15, marking a 3.2% decline against historical average gains of 6.7% and a median increase of 3.8%.

Bitcoin’s Previous October Results Show Different Recovery Patterns

Kamsky compared Bitcoin’s current weakness with October 2022, when prices peaked around October 5 before turning negative near October 8. Bitcoin subsequently traded within a narrow range until October 25, eventually finishing the month 5.9% above its opening price.

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October 2023 followed a different pattern, with stronger gains emerging during the second half and pushing Bitcoin 27.9% higher by October 31. In contrast, Bitcoin ended October 2018 with a 4.7% decline, demonstrating that historical seasonal trends do not guarantee positive returns.

Rising Wedge Breakdown Places Lower Bitcoin Support Levels in View

Beyond the historical comparison, Kamsky identified a breakdown below a rising wedge formation on Bitcoin’s four-hour chart. The pattern developed over three months, with prices testing both boundaries before breaking lower on October 7.

Bitcoin subsequently approached trendline support near $80,400, close to the October 8 low, making that area significant. A sustained hold above this level could allow Bitcoin to revisit former wedge support, which now represents short-term resistance.

Alternatively, a confirmed four-hour close below the trendline would weaken the rebound scenario and expose consolidation zones. Kamsky identified $77,000 and $73,500 as potential support areas, followed by deeper levels around $70,000 and $64,000. Bitcoin’s response near $80,400 will determine whether the current decline stabilizes or extends toward those lower price levels.

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