Kalshi Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond odds
On Kalshi, the busiest line, Robert Pattinson, is at 51%. The market settles by Jan 1, 2030, and $222K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 51¢ reads as a 51% chance.
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Kalshi · odds · updated
Kalshi odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Pattinson | 51% | 51¢ | $58K | Trade |
| Callum Turner | 31% | 31¢ | $36K | Trade |
| Jack Lowden | 20% | 20¢ | $28K | Trade |
| Henry Cavill | 4% | 4¢ | $27K | Trade |
| Nicholas Hoult | 4% | 4¢ | $20K | Trade |
| Theo James | 4% | 4¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Jacob Elordi | 4% | 4¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Tom Francis | 4% | 4¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Jack Barton | 4% | 4¢ | $629 | Trade |
| Damson Idris | 4% | 4¢ | $448 | Trade |
Show 24 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Pierre | 4% | 4¢ | $301 | Trade |
| Josh O'Connor | 3% | 3¢ | $20K | Trade |
| Nicholas Galitzine | 1% | 1¢ | $8K | Trade |
| Henry Ashton | 2% | 2¢ | $7K | Trade |
| Harris Dickinson | 3% | 3¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson | 3% | 3¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Harry Styles | 2% | 2¢ | $482 | Trade |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2% | 2¢ | $234 | Trade |
| Paul Mescal | 2% | 2¢ | $134 | Trade |
| Idris Elba | 2% | 2¢ | $72 | Trade |
| Tom Holland | 3% | 3¢ | $49 | Trade |
| George MacKay | 2% | 2¢ | $35 | Trade |
| Jack O'Connell | 3% | 3¢ | $16 | Trade |
| Charlie Hunnam | 3% | 3¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Scott Rose-Marsh | 2% | 2¢ | $1 | Trade |
| Joe Alwyn | 2% | 2¢ | $1 | Trade |
| Richard Madden | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| James Norton | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Regé-Jean Page | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Cillian Murphy | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tom Hardy | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tom Blyth | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| David Gyasi | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Luke Evans | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 51¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Will Robert Pattinson be the next James Bond?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Jan 1, 2030.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 51¢ for Robert Pattinson right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
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CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Polymarket here yet: we have not matched this question to a Polymarket market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond?
On Kalshi, the busiest line, Robert Pattinson, is at 51%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.