Polymarket market

Polymarket #1 Searched Person on Google 2026 odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Jensen Huang, at 38%. The market settles by Mar 31, 2027, and $97K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 38¢ reads as a 38% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Jensen Huang38%
Lindsay Clancy22%
Erling Haaland5%
Nicolás Maduro5%
Bad Bunny5%

All 47 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

11 of these outcomes are priced on Kalshi too: the favourite is compared below, and each outcome links its own comparison.

$97K
24h volume on Polymarket
$530K
total volume on Polymarket
46
open of 47 outcomes
Mar 31, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of #1 Searched Person on Google 2026
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Jensen Huang compare 38%38¢$85KTrade
Lindsay Clancy22%22¢$9KTrade
Erling Haaland compare 5%5¢$417Trade
Nicolás Maduro5%5¢$3Trade
Bad Bunny compare 5%5¢$121Trade
Donald Trump compare 4%4¢$632Trade
Alysa Liu compare 4%4¢$656Trade
Lionel Messi3%3¢$34Trade
Patrick Mahomes2%2¢$0Trade
Jude Bellingham2%2¢$0Trade
Show 30 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of #1 Searched Person on Google 2026
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Neymar2%2¢$0Trade
LeBron James1%1¢$0Trade
Sydney Sweeney1%1¢$0Trade
Benjamin Netanyahu compare 1%1¢$0Trade
Christian Pulisic1%1¢$0Trade
Ja Morant1%1¢$0Trade
Lamine Yamal1%1¢$0Trade
Cristiano Ronaldo1%1¢$0Trade
Kylian Mbappé1%1¢$0Trade
Sabrina Carpenter1%1¢$0Trade
Shohei Ohtani1%1¢$0Trade
Scarlett Johansson1%1¢$0Trade
Vladimir Putin compare 1%1¢$0Trade
Matt Damon1%1¢$0Trade
Taylor Swift compare <1%<1¢$0Trade
Robert Downey Jr.<1%<1¢$0Trade
Ariana Grande<1%<1¢$0Trade
Zendaya<1%<1¢$0Trade
Travis Kelce<1%<1¢$0Trade
Luka Dončić<1%<1¢$0Trade
Elon Musk compare <1%<1¢$0Trade
Jacob Elordi<1%<1¢$0Trade
Kanye West<1%<1¢$0Trade
Josh Allen<1%<1¢$0Trade
Angel Reese<1%<1¢$1KTrade
Chappell Roan<1%<1¢$0Trade
Timothée Chalamet<1%<1¢$5Trade
Joe Burrow<1%<1¢$0Trade
Anthony Edwards<1%<1¢$0Trade
Caitlin Clark<1%<1¢$0Trade

7 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).

Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 38¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question

The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Will Jensen Huang be the #1 searched person on Google this year?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents38¢63¢1.2¢$85K$34KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus35¢cheapest to buy65¢1.6¢$28K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Jensen Huang
38%▼ 12.5 pts since Nov 12
Yes price
Nov 129% – 50% scaleNov 15

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.

The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.

This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

Scheduled resolution: Dec 30, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 38¢ for Jensen Huang right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on #1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Jensen Huang, at 38%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.