Polymarket market

Polymarket #1 Searched Person on Google 2026 odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Lindsay Clancy, at 23%. The market settles by Mar 31, 2027, and $271 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 23¢ reads as a 23% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Lindsay Clancy23%
Erling Haaland15%
Bad Bunny10%
Alysa Liu5%
Donald Trump5%

All 46 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

8 of these outcomes are priced on Kalshi too: the favourite is compared below, and each outcome links its own comparison.

$271
24h volume on Polymarket
$346K
total volume on Polymarket
46
open of 46 outcomes
Mar 31, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of #1 Searched Person on Google 2026
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Lindsay Clancy23%23¢$158Trade
Erling Haaland compare 15%15¢$62Trade
Bad Bunny compare 10%10¢$52Trade
Alysa Liu5%5¢$0Trade
Donald Trump compare 5%5¢$0Trade
Nicolás Maduro3%3¢$0Trade
Lionel Messi3%3¢$0Trade
Jude Bellingham3%3¢$0Trade
Patrick Mahomes2%2¢$0Trade
Neymar2%2¢$0Trade
Show 30 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of #1 Searched Person on Google 2026
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Travis Kelce2%2¢$0Trade
Sabrina Carpenter2%2¢$0Trade
Benjamin Netanyahu2%2¢$0Trade
Cristiano Ronaldo2%2¢$0Trade
Taylor Swift compare 2%2¢$0Trade
Christian Pulisic1%1¢$0Trade
Matt Damon1%1¢$0Trade
Lamine Yamal1%1¢$0Trade
Robert Downey Jr.1%1¢$0Trade
Kylian Mbappé1%1¢$0Trade
Scarlett Johansson1%1¢$0Trade
LeBron James1%1¢$0Trade
Kanye West1%1¢$0Trade
Ja Morant1%1¢$0Trade
Shohei Ohtani1%1¢$0Trade
Sydney Sweeney1%1¢$0Trade
Jacob Elordi1%1¢$0Trade
Ariana Grande1%1¢$0Trade
Elon Musk compare 1%1¢$0Trade
Vladimir Putin compare 1%1¢$0Trade
Zendaya1%1¢$0Trade
Luka Dončić1%1¢$0Trade
Chappell Roan1%1¢$0Trade
Josh Allen1%1¢$0Trade
Stefon Diggs<1%<1¢$0Trade
Joe Burrow<1%<1¢$0Trade
Volodymyr Zelenskyy compare <1%<1¢$0Trade
Anthony Edwards<1%<1¢$0Trade
Caitlin Clark<1%<1¢$0Trade
Billie Eilish compare <1%<1¢$0Trade

6 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).

Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 23¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question

The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents15¢cheapest to buy85¢free$62$23KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus17¢84¢1.0¢$2K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Lindsay Clancy
23%▼ 0.5 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1818% – 30% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.

The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.

This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

Scheduled resolution: Dec 30, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 23¢ for Lindsay Clancy right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on #1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Lindsay Clancy, at 23%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.