Polymarket Next James Bond actor odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Robert Pattinson, at 47%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $137K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 47¢ reads as a 47% chance. It also trades on Polymarket US, linked below; no Kalshi market is matched yet.
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Pattinson | 47% | 47¢ | $20K | Trade |
| Callum Turner | 21% | 21¢ | $26K | Trade |
| Jack Lowden | 14% | 14¢ | $19K | Trade |
| No Bond chosen | 6% | 6¢ | $9K | Trade |
| Nicholas Hoult | 3% | 3¢ | $7K | Trade |
| Josh O'Connor | 2% | 2¢ | $8K | Trade |
| Tom Francis | 1% | 1¢ | $7K | Trade |
| Theo James | 1% | 1¢ | $8K | Trade |
| Jack Barton | <1% | <1¢ | $6K | Trade |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson | <1% | <1¢ | $10K | Trade |
Show 17 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Elordi | <1% | <1¢ | $8K | Trade |
| Henry Cavill | <1% | <1¢ | $5K | Trade |
| Jack O'Connell | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| James Norton | – | – | $707 | Trade |
| Harris Dickinson | – | – | $456 | Trade |
| Richard Madden | – | – | $1K | Trade |
| Paul Mescal | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Joe Alwyn | – | – | $191 | Trade |
| Tom Hardy | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Nicholas Galitzine | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Jonathan Bailey | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Tom Holland | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Timothee Chalamet | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Tom Blyth | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Pierce Brosnan | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Michael B Jordan | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Robert James-Collier | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 47¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 30, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 47¢ for Robert Pattinson right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
The same question trades on Polymarket US too: Polymarket US's page. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Next James Bond actor?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Robert Pattinson, at 47%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here. It also trades on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.