Polymarket Next James Bond actor odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Jack Lowden, at 36%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $46K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 36¢ reads as a 36% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Lowden | 36% | 36¢ | $8K | Trade |
| No Bond chosen | 22% | 22¢ | $6K | Trade |
| Callum Turner | 18% | 18¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Josh O'Connor | 12% | 12¢ | $7K | Trade |
| James Norton | 5% | 5¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Jack Barton | 4% | 4¢ | $6K | Trade |
| Tom Francis | 2% | 2¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Jacob Elordi | 2% | 2¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Harris Dickinson | 1% | 1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Jack O'Connell | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
Show 14 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Madden | <1% | <1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Henry Cavill | <1% | <1¢ | $861 | Trade |
| Theo James | <1% | <1¢ | $841 | Trade |
| Paul Mescal | <1% | <1¢ | $791 | Trade |
| Tom Hardy | <1% | <1¢ | $761 | Trade |
| Tom Holland | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson | – | – | $707 | Trade |
| Timothee Chalamet | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Pierce Brosnan | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Tom Blyth | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Jonathan Bailey | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Nicholas Galitzine | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Michael B Jordan | – | – | $7 | Trade |
| Robert James-Collier | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 36¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 36¢ for Jack Lowden right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Next James Bond actor?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Jack Lowden, at 36%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.