Polymarket Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027 odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Committee to Protect Journalists, is at 10%. The market settles by Mar 31, 2028, and $23K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 10¢ reads as a 10% chance.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Committee to Protect Journalists | 10% | 10¢ | $9K | Trade |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 7% | 7¢ | $5K | Trade |
| Yulia Navalnaya | 6% | 6¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | 4% | 4¢ | $80 | Trade |
| Donald Trump | 9% | 9¢ | $8 | Trade |
| Jimmy Lai | 6% | 6¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya | 6% | 6¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Pope Leo XIV | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| António Guterres | 2% | 2¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Greta Thunberg | 2% | 2¢ | $2K | Trade |
Show 6 more outcomes
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 10¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner.
If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Scheduled resolution: Mar 31, 2028.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 10¢ for Committee to Protect Journalists right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More culture markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist?
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$346K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
Next James Bond actor
Polymarket · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$45K in 24h on Polymarket
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Polymarket · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$43K in 24h on Polymarket
"Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office
Polymarket · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$26K in 24h on Polymarket
"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office
Polymarket · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$26K in 24h on Polymarket
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide
Polymarket · resolves Jul 31, 2027
$21K in 24h on Polymarket
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Committee to Protect Journalists, is at 10%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.