Polymarket Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, You Can See Everything, is at 76%. The market settles by Mar 14, 2027, and $14K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 76¢ reads as a 76% chance.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| You Can See Everything | 76% | 76¢ | $9K | Trade |
| Dune: Part Three | 88% | 88¢ | $2K | Trade |
| The Adventures of Cliff Booth | 24% | 24¢ | $1K | Trade |
| I Play Rocky | 62% | 62¢ | $868 | Trade |
| The Invite | 61% | 61¢ | $498 | Trade |
| Elsinore | 23% | 23¢ | $260 | Trade |
| All of a Sudden | 37% | 37¢ | $140 | Trade |
| Obsession | 31% | 31¢ | $131 | Trade |
| La Bola Negra | 95% | 95¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Wild Horse Nine | 91% | 91¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 12 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Project Hail Mary | 77% | 77¢ | $0 | Trade |
| The Debut | 77% | 77¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Fjord | 34% | 34¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Digger | 19% | 19¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Behemoth! | 18% | 18¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Michael | 13% | 13¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 7% | 7¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Disclosure Day | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Fatherland | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| The Drama | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| The Social Reckoning | 2% | 2¢ | $119 | Trade |
| The Odyssey | 98% | 98¢ | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 76¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Jan 21, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 76¢ for You Can See Everything right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More culture markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist?
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$116K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026
Polymarket · resolves Nov 3, 2026
$49K in 24h on Polymarket
New "Stranger Things" episode released
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Mar 31, 2027
$32K in 24h, both venues
Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026
Polymarket · resolves Dec 1, 2026
$19K in 24h on Polymarket
Elon Musk # tweets October 26 - October 28, 2026
Polymarket · resolves Oct 28, 2026
$18K in 24h on Polymarket
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?
Polymarket · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$16K in 24h on Polymarket
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, You Can See Everything, is at 76%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.