Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Odds and prices
Markets price "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year" at 3%, with 2 venues quoting within 5 points of each other. The contract settles by Mar 31, 2027; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Polymarket US.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 1¢cheapest to buy | 99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | $27K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 6¢ | 94¢ | 0.4–0.5¢ | – | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
This market will settle to Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu is the individual ranked #1 in Googles official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
Full settlement wording
This market will settle to Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu is the individual ranked #1 in Googles official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. Outcome sourced from Google Trends (https://trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/).
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global Trending People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will settle based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
For full rules, see: https://polymarketexchange.com/files/product-terms/GSRC.pdf
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year"?
Markets currently price it at 3% across 2 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.
Where can I trade "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year"?
On Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket US takes US residents only; from the US, polymarket.com is close-only. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.