Will Bhutan win Eurovision Asia 2026? Odds and prices
"Will Bhutan win Eurovision Asia 2026" is priced at 0% on Polymarket and 1% on Kalshi, where Kalshi has no live quote: the venues disagree, so <1% is their average, not a consensus. The contract settles by Nov 14, 2026; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | <1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $2K | $16K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 is scheduled for November 14, 2026.
Full settlement wording
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 is scheduled for November 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country ranked first in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, according to the ranking below.
Countries will be ranked according to their official competition ranking in the Grand Final. If two or more countries share the same ranking, ties will be broken by the total number of points received. If still tied, ties will be broken by the total number of points received from the national juries. If still tied, ties will be broken by the total number of points received from the public vote. If still tied, ties will be broken alphabetically by English country name. This market will resolve according to the country ranked first under this ranking.
If the results of the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 are not announced by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://www.eurovision.com/asia/), including live footage of Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If Bhutan is officially declared the winner of Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The participant is the official country or territory entry and its participating broadcaster. A change to its artist or song does not change the entry's identity. Resolution follows the official winner declared by Voxovation and the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), including their official tie-breaking rules. Unofficial reports, leaks, predictions, rumors, and premature announcements do not count. Corrections made before expiration govern; changes after expiration do not count. The source hierarchy in the contract rules applies, with ultimate deference to the official written press release from Voxovation and the EBU. If the contest is postponed or rescheduled, trading remains open until the earlier of the result being reported or one year after the originally scheduled Grand Final date. If interruption or cancellation without postponement or rescheduling leaves no winner, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. An entry that fails to qualify, is not selected for the Grand Final, or becomes officially ineligible may resolve to No early. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the European Broadcasting Union (EBU). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Bhutan win Eurovision Asia 2026"?
The venues disagree: 0% on Polymarket and 1% on Kalshi. The <1% shown is their average; the gap often comes from settlement rules worded differently, compared on this page.
Where can I trade "Will Bhutan win Eurovision Asia 2026"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.