Polymarket Eurovision Asia Winner 2026 odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Philippines, at 55%. The market settles by Nov 14, 2026, and $33K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 55¢ reads as a 55% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: compare both
9 of these outcomes are priced on Kalshi too: the favourite is compared below, and each outcome links its own comparison.
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philippines compare | 55% | 55¢ | $7K | Trade |
| Malaysia compare | 32% | 32¢ | $8K | Trade |
| Laos compare | 5% | 5¢ | $3K | Trade |
| South Korea | 4% | 4¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Vietnam | 4% | 4¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Thailand compare | 2% | 2¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Nepal compare | 1% | 1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Cambodia compare | <1% | <1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Mongolia compare | <1% | <1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Bangladesh compare | <1% | <1¢ | $2K | Trade |
Show 1 more outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 55¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question
The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 55¢ | 45¢ | 1.2¢ | $7K | $12K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 54¢cheapest to buy | 46¢ | 1.7¢ | $2K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 is scheduled for November 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country ranked first in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, according to the ranking below.
Countries will be ranked according to their official competition ranking in the Grand Final. If two or more countries share the same ranking, ties will be broken by the total number of points received. If still tied, ties will be broken by the total number of points received from the national juries. If still tied, ties will be broken by the total number of points received from the public vote. If still tied, ties will be broken alphabetically by English country name. This market will resolve according to the country ranked first under this ranking.
If the results of the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 are not announced by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://www.eurovision.com/asia/), including live footage of Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 14, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 55¢ for Philippines right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Eurovision Asia Winner 2026?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Philippines, at 55%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.