What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in New York? Polymarket odds
On Polymarket, Crime / Criminal 10+ times closed at 100%. Trading has closed; the result settles the contracts. A contract that closed at 100¢ pays $1 if that outcome is the result, and nothing if not. The settlement rules below say what decided the result.
Polymarket · final prices · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crime / Criminal 10+ timesFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 |
| DepressionFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 |
| PipelineFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 |
| MicronFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 |
| AOCFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 |
| 1776Final | 100% | 100¢ | $0 |
| Electricity / ElectricFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 |
| Zohran/MamdaniFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
| Gulf of AmericaFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
| Data CenterFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
Show 7 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| BuffaloFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
| No Qualifying Event-Final | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
| Six SevenFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / CryptocurrencyFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
| SI / Super Intelligence 2+ timesFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
| UnionFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
| ClayFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 100¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How this market settled
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York on October 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-syracuse-ny-president-donald-j-trump)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in New York on October 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Scheduled resolution: Oct 9, 2026.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on “What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in New York?”?
On Polymarket, Crime / Criminal 10+ times closed at 100%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Trading has ended on Polymarket. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues in general.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.