Polymarket In which month will Anthropic IPO odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is November 2026, at 86%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2027, and $44K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 86¢ reads as an 86% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 86% | 86¢ | $10K | Trade |
| December 2026 | 5% | 5¢ | $4K | Trade |
| January 2027 | 3% | 3¢ | $4K | Trade |
| March 2027 | 2% | 2¢ | $3K | Trade |
| May 2027 | 1% | 1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| April 2027 | 1% | 1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| June 2027 | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| February 2027 | 1% | 1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| October 2026 | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| No IPO before 2028 | <1% | <1¢ | $3K | Trade |
Show 7 more outcomes
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 86¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 86¢ for November 2026 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on In which month will Anthropic IPO?
On Polymarket, the favourite is November 2026, at 86%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.