Kalshi IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026 odds
On Kalshi, At least 194,000 points closed at 2%. Trading has closed; the result settles the contracts. A contract that closed at 2¢ pays $1 if that outcome is the result, and nothing if not. The settlement rules below say what decided the result.
Kalshi · final prices · updated
Kalshi odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 180,000 points | – | – | $0 |
| At least 182,000 points | – | – | $0 |
| At least 184,000 points | – | – | $0 |
| At least 186,000 points | – | – | $0 |
| At least 188,000 points | – | – | $0 |
| At least 190,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $1K |
| At least 191,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $11K |
| At least 192,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $4K |
| At least 193,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $505 |
| At least 194,000 points | 2% | 2¢ | $5K |
Show 26 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 195,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $2K |
| At least 196,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $2K |
| At least 197,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $3K |
| At least 198,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $2K |
| At least 199,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $3K |
| At least 200,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $3K |
| At least 201,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $2K |
| At least 202,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $2K |
| At least 203,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $2K |
| At least 204,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $3K |
| At least 205,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $3K |
| At least 206,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $2K |
| At least 207,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $2K |
| At least 208,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $5K |
| At least 209,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $2K |
| At least 210,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $2K |
| At least 211,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $2K |
| At least 212,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $4K |
| At least 213,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $2K |
| At least 214,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $4K |
| At least 215,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $4K |
| At least 216,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $3K |
| At least 217,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $3K |
| At least 218,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $4K |
| At least 219,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $24K |
| At least 220,000 points | 1% | 1¢ | $4K |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market settled
The contract is “IBOVESPA closes at least 180,000 on Oct 26, 2026”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Oct 26, 2026.
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Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026?
On Kalshi, At least 194,000 points closed at 2%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
Trading has ended on Kalshi. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues in general.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.