Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026: odds and prices
"Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026" is priced at 15% on Polymarket and 9% on Kalshi, 6 points apart: the venues disagree, so 12% is their average, not a consensus. The contract settles by Dec 31, 2026; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 15¢ | 86¢ | 0.5¢ | $88K | $109K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 9¢cheapest to buy | 92¢ | 0.5¢ | $2K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen or Lori Huang file for divorce or announce their definitive intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen or Lori Huang file for divorce or announce their definitive intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from either Lori or Jensen Huang, or their official authorized representatives, of their definitive intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when or whether the divorce ultimately occurs. Announcements that they are considering or open to a divorce will not qualify.
The resolution source will be statements from Jensen Huang and/or Lori Huang, and their representatives, as well as relevant court records; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Donald Trump and Jensen Huang meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Both Donald Trump and Jensen Huang must be physically present in the same location and directly communicate or interact after Issuance and before the applicable date. A bilateral, pull-aside, sideline, informal, or multilateral encounter qualifies if direct interaction is documented. Mere co-attendance, proximity without interaction, an intermediary, a letter, a phone or video call, a prerecorded appearance, or a scheduled-but-cancelled meeting does NOT qualify.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026"?
The venues disagree: 15% on Polymarket and 9% on Kalshi. The 12% shown is their average; the gap often comes from settlement rules worded differently, compared on this page.
Where can I trade "Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.