Polymarket market

Polymarket Jensen Huang divorce odds

On Polymarket, Yes trades at 15%. The market settles by Mar 31, 2027, and $99K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 15¢ reads as a 15% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

March 31, 202729%
December 31, 202615%

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

$99K
24h volume on Polymarket
$964K
total volume on Polymarket
2
open of 2 outcomes
Mar 31, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Jensen Huang divorce
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
March 31, 202729%29¢$17KTrade
December 31, 2026 compare 15%15¢$82KTrade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 29¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question

The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents15¢86¢0.5¢$82K$95KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus9¢cheapest to buy92¢0.5¢$2K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · December 31, 2026
15%▼ 2.0 pts since Nov 8
Yes price
Nov 89% – 34% scaleNov 14

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen or Lori Huang file for divorce or announce their definitive intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement from either Lori or Jensen Huang, or their official authorized representatives, of their definitive intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when or whether the divorce ultimately occurs. Announcements that they are considering or open to a divorce will not qualify.

The resolution source will be statements from Jensen Huang and/or Lori Huang, and their representatives, as well as relevant court records; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 29¢ for March 31, 2027 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on Jensen Huang divorce?

On Polymarket, Yes trades at 15%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.