Polymarket Next Secretary-General of the United Nations odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Lana Nusseibeh, at 33%. The market settles by Jun 30, 2027, and $1K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 33¢ reads as a 33% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: compare both
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lana Nusseibeh | 33% | 33¢ | $271 | Trade |
| Rebeca Grynspan compare | 10% | 10¢ | $755 | Trade |
| Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Michelle Bachelet | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| María Fernanda Espinosa | 3% | 3¢ | $11 | Trade |
| Macky Sall | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Rafael Grossi | 1% | 1¢ | $445 | Trade |
| Olara Otunnu | 1% | 1¢ | $11 | Trade |
| Ivonne de Baki | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 33¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question
The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 10¢cheapest to buy | 91¢ | free | $755 | $19K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 12¢ | 89¢ | 0.7¢ | $505 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 30, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket app review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 33¢ for Lana Nusseibeh right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Lana Nusseibeh, at 33%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.