Polymarket Prime Minister of Israel after the next election odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Gadi Eizenkot, at 50%. The market settles by Oct 27, 2026, and $897K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 50¢ reads as a 50% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: 4 questions compared ↓
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot compare | 50% | 50¢ | $78K | Trade |
| Benjamin Netanyahu compare | 29% | 29¢ | $398K | Trade |
| Naftali Bennett compare | 17% | 17¢ | $65K | Trade |
| Avigdor Lieberman compare | 1% | 1¢ | $62K | Trade |
| Israel Katz | <1% | <1¢ | $55K | Trade |
| Moshe Feiglin | <1% | <1¢ | $65K | Trade |
| Amir Ohana | <1% | <1¢ | $56K | Trade |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | <1% | <1¢ | $32K | Trade |
| Yossi Cohen | <1% | <1¢ | $31K | Trade |
| Yair Golan | – | – | $24K | Trade |
Show 9 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Sa’ar | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Benny Gantz | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Ayelet Shaked | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Yariv Levin | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Yair Lapid | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Nir Barkat | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Yoaz Hendel | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Gilad Erdan | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Ofer Winter | – | – | $32K | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 50¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 50¢cheapest to buy | 50¢ | free | $78K | $300K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 52¢ | 49¢ | 1.7¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 50¢cheapest to buy | 51¢ | 1.7¢ | $18K | – | Trade → |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 29¢ | 72¢ | free | $398K | $515K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 31¢ | 70¢ | 1.5¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 28¢cheapest to buy | 73¢ | 1.4¢ | $126K | – | Trade → |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 17¢ | 84¢ | free | $65K | $124K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 13¢cheapest to buy | 88¢ | 0.8¢ | – | – | Trade → |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 1¢cheapest to buy | 99¢ | free | $62K | $189K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 3¢ | 98¢ | 0.2¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 3¢ | 98¢ | 0.2¢ | $351 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Oct 27, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 50¢ for Gadi Eizenkot right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Gadi Eizenkot, at 50%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 4 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.