Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Odds and prices
Markets price "Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election" at 3%, with 2 venues quoting within 2 points of each other. The contract settles by Jan 20, 2029; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Permanent page: 2028 US presidential election odds
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢cheapest to buy | 98¢ | free | $8K | $370K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 4¢ | 97¢ | 0.2¢ | – | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
Full settlement wording
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will settle to Yes if James Talarico wins the 2028 United States Presidential election.
Full settlement wording
This market will settle to Yes if James Talarico wins the 2028 United States Presidential election. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.
The election winner is determined by electoral college votes. If no individual receives a majority of electoral college votes, this market will settle based on the first person formally selected, in a non-acting capacity, to assume the Presidency of the United States for the presidential term beginning after the 2028 United States presidential election under the subsequent constitutional process.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election"?
Markets currently price it at 3% across 2 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.
Where can I trade "Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election"?
On Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket US takes US residents only; from the US, polymarket.com is close-only. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.