Polymarket Presidential Election Winner 2028 odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Jon Ossoff, at 18%. The market settles by Nov 7, 2028, and $621K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 18¢ reads as an 18% chance. Polymarket US lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
This question also has a permanent page: 2028 US presidential election odds
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket US: 3 questions compared ↓
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff compare | 18% | 18¢ | $8K | Trade |
| JD Vance | 15% | 15¢ | $168K | Trade |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 9% | 9¢ | $16K | Trade |
| Marco Rubio | 9% | 9¢ | $93K | Trade |
| Gavin Newsom | 7% | 7¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Ron DeSantis | 7% | 7¢ | $10K | Trade |
| Kamala Harris | 3% | 3¢ | $18K | Trade |
| Pete Buttigieg | 3% | 3¢ | $174 | Trade |
| Josh Shapiro | 3% | 3¢ | $91 | Trade |
| Andy Beshear compare | 2% | 2¢ | $24 | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Warnock | 2% | 2¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Mark Kelly | 1% | 1¢ | $6K | Trade |
| Donald Trump | 1% | 1¢ | $376 | Trade |
| Tucker Carlson | 1% | 1¢ | $158 | Trade |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 1% | 1¢ | $470 | Trade |
| Thomas Massie | 1% | 1¢ | $19K | Trade |
| Wes Moore | 1% | 1¢ | $21 | Trade |
| James Talarico compare | 1% | 1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Ro Khanna | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| JB Pritzker | 1% | 1¢ | $125 | Trade |
| Glenn Youngkin | 1% | 1¢ | $12K | Trade |
| Ivanka Trump | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Ted Cruz | 1% | 1¢ | $316 | Trade |
| Donald Trump Jr. | <1% | <1¢ | $5K | Trade |
| Rahm Emanuel | <1% | <1¢ | $200 | Trade |
| Jamie Dimon | <1% | <1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Gretchen Whitmer | <1% | <1¢ | $144 | Trade |
| Abdul El-Sayed | <1% | <1¢ | $9K | Trade |
| Elon Musk | <1% | <1¢ | $40K | Trade |
| Michelle Obama | <1% | <1¢ | $20K | Trade |
| Tom Cotton | <1% | <1¢ | $75K | Trade |
| Nikki Haley | <1% | <1¢ | $57K | Trade |
| Elissa Slotkin | <1% | <1¢ | $26K | Trade |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | <1% | <1¢ | $11K | Trade |
| Cory Booker | <1% | <1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Tulsi Gabbard | <1% | <1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| James Fishback | <1% | <1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| LeBron James | – | – | $392 | Trade |
| Zohran Mamdani | – | – | $1K | Trade |
| Abigail Spanberger | – | – | $1K | Trade |
18 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).
Close-only for US residentsChance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 18¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 18¢cheapest to buy | 82¢ | 0.6¢ | $8K | $461K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 22¢ | 79¢ | 1.2–1.6¢ | – | – | Trade → |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢cheapest to buy | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $24 | $276K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 4¢ | 97¢ | 0.2–0.3¢ | – | – | Trade → |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 1¢cheapest to buy | 99¢ | <0.1¢ | $1K | $463K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 4¢ | 97¢ | 0.2–0.3¢ | – | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 7, 2028.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 18¢ for Jon Ossoff right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Presidential Election Winner 2028?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Jon Ossoff, at 18%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Not on Kalshi yet: it trades on Polymarket US. The 3 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.