Polymarket 2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Dallas Mavericks, at 14%. The market settles by Jun 1, 2027, and $54 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 14¢ reads as a 14% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 14% | 14¢ | $0 | Trade |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 14% | 14¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Golden State Warriors | 13% | 13¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 12% | 12¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Houston Rockets | 11% | 11¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 11% | 11¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 9% | 9¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Orlando Magic | 9% | 9¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Chicago Bulls | 6% | 6¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 20 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Hornets | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Brooklyn Nets | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| New York Knicks | 4% | 4¢ | $18 | Trade |
| Phoenix Suns | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Denver Nuggets | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Miami Heat | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Boston Celtics | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sacramento Kings | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Detroit Pistons | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| San Antonio Spurs | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Indiana Pacers | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Atlanta Hawks | <1% | <1¢ | $18 | Trade |
| Toronto Raptors | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Washington Wizards | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Utah Jazz | – | – | $18 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 14¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Jun 1, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 14¢ for Dallas Mavericks right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More NBA markets
NBA: 2027 Champion
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Jun 30, 2027
$507K in 24h, both venues
Knicks vs. 76ers
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 5, 2026
$23K in 24h, both venues
NBA: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion
Polymarket · resolves Jun 30, 2027
$7K in 24h on Polymarket
NBA: Team to Make Playoffs
Polymarket · resolves May 15, 2027
$4K in 24h on Polymarket
Grizzlies vs. Hawks
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 5, 2026
$4K in 24h, both venues
Timberwolves vs. Bucks
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 5, 2026
$14K in 24h, both venues
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on 2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Dallas Mavericks, at 14%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.