Polymarket market

Polymarket NBA: 2027 Champion odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Oklahoma City Thunder, at 24%. The market settles by Jun 30, 2027, and $571K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 24¢ reads as a 24% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

This question also has a permanent page: NBA champion odds

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Oklahoma City Thunder24%
San Antonio Spurs20%
Philadelphia 76ers11%
New York Knicks8%
Boston Celtics6%

All 30 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: compare them

30 of these outcomes are priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi too: the favourite is compared below, and each outcome links its own comparison: every one compared

$571K
24h volume on Polymarket
$30.9M
total volume on Polymarket
27
open of 30 outcomes
Jun 30, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of NBA: 2027 Champion
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Oklahoma City Thunder compare 24%24¢$18KTrade
San Antonio Spurs compare 20%20¢$11KTrade
Philadelphia 76ers compare 11%11¢$117KTrade
New York Knicks compare 8%8¢$10KTrade
Boston Celtics compare 6%6¢$10KTrade
Minnesota Timberwolves compare 5%5¢$14KTrade
Toronto Raptors compare 4%4¢$13KTrade
Detroit Pistons compare 3%3¢$78KTrade
Houston Rockets compare 3%3¢$21KTrade
Miami Heat compare 3%3¢$16KTrade
Show 20 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of NBA: 2027 Champion
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Denver Nuggets compare 3%3¢$16KTrade
Cleveland Cavaliers compare 3%3¢$23KTrade
Los Angeles Lakers compare 2%2¢$10KTrade
Indiana Pacers compare 2%2¢$13KTrade
Portland Trail Blazers compare 1%1¢$13KTrade
Atlanta Hawks compare 1%1¢$11KTrade
Golden State Warriors compare 1%1¢$22KTrade
Orlando Magic compare 1%1¢$56KTrade
Utah Jazz compare 1%1¢$19KTrade
Washington Wizards compare 1%1¢$10KTrade
Charlotte Hornets compare <1%<1¢$9KTrade
Dallas Mavericks compare <1%<1¢$11KTrade
Phoenix Suns compare <1%<1¢$9KTrade
Memphis Grizzlies compare <1%<1¢$9KTrade
Chicago Bulls compare <1%<1¢$13KTrade
New Orleans Pelicans compare <1%<1¢$11KTrade
Los Angeles Clippers compare <1%<1¢$9KTrade
Brooklyn Nets compare ––$0Trade
Sacramento Kings compare ––$9Trade
Milwaukee Bucks compare ––$1KTrade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 24¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question

The same question on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents24¢cheapest to buy77¢free$18K$212KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only26¢75¢1.3¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus25¢cheapest to buy76¢1.3¢$8K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Oklahoma City Thunder
24%▲ 4.0 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1815% – 30% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Jun 30, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 24¢ for Oklahoma City Thunder right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on NBA: 2027 Champion?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Oklahoma City Thunder, at 24%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.