Polymarket NBA: Team to Make Playoffs odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Miami Heat, is at 60%. The market settles by May 15, 2027, and $6K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 60¢ reads as a 60% chance.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 60% | 60¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Utah Jazz | 42% | 42¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Detroit Pistons | 88% | 88¢ | $888 | Trade |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 70% | 70¢ | $419 | Trade |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 67% | 67¢ | $403 | Trade |
| Washington Wizards | 30% | 30¢ | $367 | Trade |
| Orlando Magic | 52% | 52¢ | $302 | Trade |
| Phoenix Suns | 43% | 43¢ | $263 | Trade |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 29% | 29¢ | $259 | Trade |
| Golden State Warriors | 31% | 31¢ | $181 | Trade |
Show 20 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Celtics | 84% | 84¢ | $170 | Trade |
| Toronto Raptors | 74% | 74¢ | $162 | Trade |
| Denver Nuggets | 85% | 85¢ | $131 | Trade |
| Dallas Mavericks | 33% | 33¢ | $109 | Trade |
| Atlanta Hawks | 64% | 64¢ | $71 | Trade |
| Charlotte Hornets | 33% | 33¢ | $60 | Trade |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 87% | 87¢ | $55 | Trade |
| LA Clippers | 18% | 18¢ | $42 | Trade |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 86% | 86¢ | $41 | Trade |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 16% | 16¢ | $30 | Trade |
| New York Knicks | 86% | 86¢ | $23 | Trade |
| San Antonio Spurs | 96% | 96¢ | $21 | Trade |
| Houston Rockets | 87% | 87¢ | $13 | Trade |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 97% | 97¢ | $5 | Trade |
| Indiana Pacers | 60% | 60¢ | $5 | Trade |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 79% | 79¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Chicago Bulls | 9% | 9¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 9% | 9¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sacramento Kings | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Brooklyn Nets | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 60¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2027 NBA Playoffs per the rules of the NBA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
Reaching the Play-In Tournament does not, by itself, qualify a team for the Playoffs and will not resolve this market to "Yes." A team must win its way through the Play-In into the 7-seed or 8-seed to qualify. Losing in the Play-In Tournament (or any associated tiebreaker) resolves this market to "No."
If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after May 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 16-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NBA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: May 15, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 60¢ for Miami Heat right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More NBA markets
Lakers vs. Jazz
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$1.2M in 24h on Polymarket
Pistons vs. 76ers
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$824K in 24h on Polymarket
NBA: 2027 Champion
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Jun 30, 2027
$1.3M in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
Raptors vs. Timberwolves
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$749K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
Grizzlies vs. Kings
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$631K in 24h on Polymarket
Pacers vs. Nets
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$590K in 24h on Polymarket
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on NBA: Team to Make Playoffs?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Miami Heat, is at 60%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.