Polymarket marketKickoff Thu, Nov 5, 12:45pm ET

Polymarket FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is AFC Ajax, at 41%. The market settles by Nov 5, 2026, and $9 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 41¢ reads as a 41% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

AFC Ajax41%
FC Midtjylland35%
Draw31%

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

$9
24h volume on Polymarket
$71
total volume on Polymarket
3
open of 3 outcomes
Nov 5, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
AFC Ajax compare 41%41¢$9Trade
FC Midtjylland compare 35%35¢$0Trade
Draw compare 31%31¢$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 41¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

FC Midtjylland · Will FC Midtjylland win on Nov 5, 2026?

FC Midtjylland: Will FC Midtjylland win on Nov 5, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents35¢65¢1.1¢$0$2KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus34¢cheapest to buy67¢1.6¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Draw · Will FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?

Draw: Will FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents31¢69¢1.1¢$0$2KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus26¢74¢1.3¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

AFC Ajax · Will AFC Ajax win on Nov 5, 2026?

AFC Ajax: Will AFC Ajax win on Nov 5, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents41¢59¢1.2¢$9$2KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus39¢cheapest to buy61¢1.7¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · AFC Ajax
41%▼ 8.0 pts since Oct 22
Yes price
Oct 2227% – 49% scaleOct 26

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will AFC Ajax win on Nov 5, 2026?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Nov 5, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 41¢ for AFC Ajax right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax?

On Polymarket, the favourite is AFC Ajax, at 41%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.