Kalshi marketKickoff Thu, Nov 5, 12:45pm ET

Kalshi FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is AFC Ajax, at 39%. The market settles by Nov 5, 2026, and $0 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 39¢ reads as a 39% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

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Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

AFC Ajax39%
FC Midtjylland34%
Draw28%

Also priced on Polymarket: compare both

$0
24h volume on Kalshi
$0
total volume on Kalshi
$0
open interest
Nov 5, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
AFC Ajax compare 39%39¢$0Trade
FC Midtjylland compare 34%34¢$0Trade
Draw compare 28%28¢$0Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 39¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on this match

The same match on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

FC Midtjylland · Will FC Midtjylland win on Nov 5, 2026?

FC Midtjylland: Will FC Midtjylland win on Nov 5, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents35¢65¢1.1¢$0$2KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus34¢cheapest to buy67¢1.6¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Draw · Will FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?

Draw: Will FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents31¢69¢1.1¢$0$2KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus28¢73¢1.4¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

AFC Ajax · Will AFC Ajax win on Nov 5, 2026?

AFC Ajax: Will AFC Ajax win on Nov 5, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents44¢56¢1.2¢$9$2KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus39¢61¢1.7¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How this market resolves

The contract is “AFC Ajax wins”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Nov 5, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi app review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 39¢ for AFC Ajax right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax?

On Kalshi, the favourite is AFC Ajax, at 39%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.