Polymarket marketKickoff Sat, Oct 31, 8:30am ET

Polymarket Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Chelsea FC, at 48%. The market settles by Oct 31, 2026, and $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 48¢ reads as a 48% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Chelsea FC48%
Manchester United FC27%
Draw26%

Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: compare them

$2K
24h volume on Polymarket
$5K
total volume on Polymarket
3
open of 3 outcomes
Oct 31, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Chelsea FC compare 48%48¢$2KTrade
Manchester United FC compare 27%27¢$289Trade
Draw compare 26%26¢$127Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 48¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Chelsea FC · Will Chelsea FC win on Oct 31, 2026?

Chelsea FC: Will Chelsea FC win on Oct 31, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents48¢cheapest to buy53¢1.2¢$2K$10KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only49¢52¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus49¢52¢1.7¢$1K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Draw · Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

Draw: Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents26¢75¢0.9¢$127$10KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only27¢74¢1.4¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus25¢cheapest to buy76¢1.3¢$718–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Manchester United FC · Will Manchester United FC win on Oct 31, 2026?

Manchester United FC: Will Manchester United FC win on Oct 31, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents27¢74¢1.0¢$289$10KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only26¢cheapest to buy75¢1.3¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus27¢74¢1.4¢$827–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Chelsea FC
48%▼ 1.0 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1844% – 58% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Chelsea FC win on Oct 31, 2026?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Oct 31, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 48¢ for Chelsea FC right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Chelsea FC, at 48%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.