Kalshi marketKickoff Sat, Oct 31, 8:30am ET

Kalshi Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Chelsea FC, at 49%. The market settles by Oct 31, 2026, and $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 49¢ reads as a 49% chance. Polymarket and Polymarket US list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Claim $50 bonus on KalshiTrade on Kalshi

$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Chelsea FC49%
Manchester United FC27%
Draw26%

Also priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US: compare them

$3K
24h volume on Kalshi
$6K
total volume on Kalshi
$5K
open interest
Oct 31, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Chelsea FC compare 49%49¢$1KTrade
Manchester United FC compare 27%27¢$827Trade
Draw compare 26%26¢$718Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 49¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on this match

The same match on each venue: Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Chelsea FC · Will Chelsea FC win on Oct 31, 2026?

Chelsea FC: Will Chelsea FC win on Oct 31, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents48¢cheapest to buy53¢1.2¢$2K$10KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only49¢52¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus49¢52¢1.7¢$1K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Draw · Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

Draw: Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents26¢cheapest to buy75¢0.9¢$127$10KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only27¢74¢1.4¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus26¢cheapest to buy75¢1.3¢$718–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Manchester United FC · Will Manchester United FC win on Oct 31, 2026?

Manchester United FC: Will Manchester United FC win on Oct 31, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents27¢74¢1.0¢$289$10KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only26¢cheapest to buy75¢1.3¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus27¢74¢1.4¢$827–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Chelsea FC
49%▼ 1.5 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1844% – 58% scaleOct 25

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The contract is “Chelsea FC wins”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Oct 31, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 49¢ for Chelsea FC right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Chelsea FC, at 49%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.