Polymarket marketKickoff Sun, Nov 1, 11:30am ET

Polymarket Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Arsenal FC, at 43%. The market settles by Nov 1, 2026, and $144 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 43¢ reads as a 43% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Arsenal FC43%
Liverpool FC32%
Draw26%

Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: compare them

$144
24h volume on Polymarket
$426
total volume on Polymarket
3
open of 3 outcomes
Nov 1, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Arsenal FC compare 43%43¢$144Trade
Liverpool FC compare 32%32¢$0Trade
Draw compare 26%26¢$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 43¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Liverpool FC · Will Liverpool FC win on Nov 1, 2026?

Liverpool FC: Will Liverpool FC win on Nov 1, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents32¢69¢1.1¢$0$13KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only32¢69¢1.5¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus31¢cheapest to buy69¢1.5¢$963–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Draw · Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Draw: Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents26¢74¢1.0¢$0$10KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only26¢74¢1.3¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus26¢75¢1.3¢$18–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Arsenal FC · Will Arsenal FC win on Nov 1, 2026?

Arsenal FC: Will Arsenal FC win on Nov 1, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents43¢cheapest to buy58¢1.2¢$144$9KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only43¢cheapest to buy58¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus44¢57¢1.7¢$2K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Arsenal FC
43%▼ 2.0 pts since Oct 19
Yes price
Oct 1935% – 53% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Arsenal FC win on Nov 1, 2026?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Nov 1, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 43¢ for Arsenal FC right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Arsenal FC, at 43%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.