Kalshi marketKickoff Sun, Nov 1, 11:30am ET

Kalshi Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Arsenal FC, at 44%. The market settles by Nov 1, 2026, and $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 44¢ reads as a 44% chance. Polymarket and Polymarket US list it too, and we compare the prices below.

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$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Arsenal FC44%
Liverpool FC31%
Draw26%

Also priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US: compare them

$3K
24h volume on Kalshi
$8K
total volume on Kalshi
$7K
open interest
Nov 1, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Arsenal FC compare 44%44¢$2KTrade
Liverpool FC compare 31%31¢$963Trade
Draw compare 26%26¢$18Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 44¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on this match

The same match on each venue: Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Liverpool FC · Will Liverpool FC win on Nov 1, 2026?

Liverpool FC: Will Liverpool FC win on Nov 1, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents32¢69¢1.1¢$0$13KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only32¢69¢1.5¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus31¢cheapest to buy69¢1.5¢$963–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Draw · Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Draw: Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents26¢74¢1.0¢$0$10KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only26¢74¢1.3¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus26¢75¢1.3¢$18–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Arsenal FC · Will Arsenal FC win on Nov 1, 2026?

Arsenal FC: Will Arsenal FC win on Nov 1, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents43¢cheapest to buy58¢1.2¢$354$9KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only43¢cheapest to buy58¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus44¢57¢1.7¢$2K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Arsenal FC
44%▼ 6.5 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1840% – 53% scaleOct 25

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The contract is “Arsenal FC wins”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Nov 1, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 44¢ for Arsenal FC right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Arsenal FC, at 44%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.