How many goals will Lionel Messi score during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window? Polymarket odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, 9+, is at 49%. The market settles by May 31, 2027, and $145 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 49¢ reads as a 49% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 94% | 94¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 2+ | 80% | 80¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 3+ | 95% | 95¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 4+ | 53% | 53¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 5+ | 72% | 72¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 9+ | 49% | 49¢ | $34 | Trade |
| 10+ | 28% | 28¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 11+ | 29% | 29¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 12+ | 25% | 25¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 13+ | 26% | 26¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 10 more outcomes
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 94¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Lionel Messi scores between February 1, 2027 and May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This window covers the 2027 MLS Sprint Season, the abbreviated 14-match Major League Soccer regular season scheduled to run from February 2027 to May 2027, together with the 2027 MLS Cup Playoffs.
Goals count only in official competitive matches: Major League Soccer league matches, domestic cup matches, continental and international club competitions, and competitive matches for the Argentina senior men's national team. Goals in friendly matches, exhibition matches, testimonials, and pre-season or mid-season tour matches do not count.
Only goals scored during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. Own goals do not count toward the total.
If Lionel Messi does not play in any match during this window, this market will resolve to "No".
If it cannot be determined how many goals Lionel Messi scored by June 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer and the relevant competition organisers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: May 31, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 94¢ for 1+ right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on “How many goals will Lionel Messi score during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?”?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, 9+, is at 49%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.