Polymarket market

Polymarket MLS: 2026 Eastern Conference Champion odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Nashville SC, at 38%. The market settles by Dec 12, 2026, and $161 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 38¢ reads as a 38% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Nashville SC38%
Inter Miami CF21%
Philadelphia Union11%
Chicago Fire FC9%
New England Revolution5%

All 15 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: compare them

$161
24h volume on Polymarket
$11K
total volume on Polymarket
15
open of 15 outcomes
Dec 12, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of MLS: 2026 Eastern Conference Champion
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Nashville SC compare 38%38¢$161Trade
Inter Miami CF21%21¢$0Trade
Philadelphia Union11%11¢$0Trade
Chicago Fire FC9%9¢$0Trade
New England Revolution5%5¢$0Trade
Charlotte FC4%4¢$0Trade
Toronto FC4%4¢$0Trade
Columbus Crew3%3¢$0Trade
D.C. United3%3¢$0Trade
New York City FC2%2¢$0Trade
Show 5 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of MLS: 2026 Eastern Conference Champion
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Atlanta United FC2%2¢$0Trade
FC Cincinnati1%1¢$0Trade
Orlando City SC1%1¢$0Trade
New York Red Bulls<1%<1¢$0Trade
CF Montréal<1%<1¢$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 38¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question

The same question on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents38¢62¢1.2¢$161$3KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only34¢cheapest to buy67¢1.5¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus37¢63¢1.6¢$3K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Nashville SC
38%▼ 2.5 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1834% – 46% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference (the Eastern Conference club that advances to MLS Cup 2026 by winning the Eastern Conference Final).

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference per the rules of MLS (e.g., they are eliminated from the Eastern Conference playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no Eastern Conference champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Dec 12, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 38¢ for Nashville SC right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on MLS: 2026 Eastern Conference Champion?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Nashville SC, at 38%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.