Kalshi market

Kalshi 2027 AFC Asian Cup Champion odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Japan, at 40%. The market settles by Feb 7, 2027, and $2 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 40¢ reads as a 40% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Claim $50 bonus on KalshiTrade on Kalshi

$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Japan40%
Korea Republic29%
Jordan18%
China PR6%
Vietnam5%

All 24 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Polymarket: compare both

$2
24h volume on Kalshi
$19K
total volume on Kalshi
$12K
open interest
Feb 7, 2027
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of 2027 AFC Asian Cup Champion
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Japan compare 40%40¢$0Trade
Korea Republic29%29¢$0Trade
Jordan18%18¢$0Trade
China PR6%6¢$0Trade
Vietnam5%5¢$2Trade
Saudi Arabia5%5¢$0Trade
Kyrgyzstan5%5¢$0Trade
Bahrain5%5¢$0Trade
Lebanon5%5¢$0Trade
Indonesia5%5¢$0Trade
Show 14 more outcomes
Kalshi odds on each outcome of 2027 AFC Asian Cup Champion
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Palestine4%4¢$0Trade
Tajikistan2%2¢$0Trade
Australia2%2¢$0Trade
IR Iran1%1¢$0Trade
Uzbekistan––$0Trade
United Arab Emirates––$0Trade
Thailand––$0Trade
Syria––$0Trade
Iraq––$0Trade
Oman––$0Trade
Qatar––$0Trade
Kuwait––$0Trade
Singapore––$0Trade
Korea DPR––$0Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 40¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on this question

The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Will Japan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents31¢cheapest to buy70¢1.1¢$0$761Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus40¢60¢1.7¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Japan
40%▲ 3.5 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1831% – 46% scaleOct 25

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Japan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Feb 7, 2027.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 40¢ for Japan right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on 2027 AFC Asian Cup Champion?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Japan, at 40%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.