Kalshi MVP odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is Josh Allen, at 29%. The market settles by Mar 14, 2027, and $181K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 29¢ reads as a 29% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
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Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page
Kalshi · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket: compare both
21 of these outcomes are priced on Polymarket too: the favourite is compared below, and each outcome links its own comparison.
Kalshi odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen compare | 29% | 29¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Brock Purdy compare | 26% | 26¢ | $7K | Trade |
| Joe Burrow compare | 7% | 7¢ | $26K | Trade |
| Patrick Mahomes | 7% | 7¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Trevor Lawrence compare | 6% | 6¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Caleb Williams compare | 5% | 5¢ | $29K | Trade |
| Jordan Love compare | 5% | 5¢ | $10K | Trade |
| Drake Maye compare | 5% | 5¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Bryce Young | 4% | 4¢ | $30K | Trade |
| Jared Goff compare | 3% | 3¢ | $20K | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker | 3% | 3¢ | $13K | Trade |
| CJ Stroud | 3% | 3¢ | $9K | Trade |
| Lamar Jackson compare | 1% | 1¢ | $12K | Trade |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 1% | 1¢ | $11K | Trade |
| Dak Prescott compare | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Tyler Shough | 1% | 1¢ | $748 | Trade |
| Deshaun Watson | 1% | 1¢ | $709 | Trade |
| Derrick Henry compare | 1% | 1¢ | $468 | Trade |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba compare | 1% | 1¢ | $187 | Trade |
| Matthew Stafford | 1% | 1¢ | $23 | Trade |
| Aaron Rodgers | 1% | 1¢ | $14 | Trade |
| Kirk Cousins | 1% | 1¢ | $9 | Trade |
| Bijan Robinson compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Kyler Murray | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Justin Herbert compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Bo Nix | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jaxson Dart compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jalen Hurts compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Baker Mayfield compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Daniel Jones | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sam Darnold | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Michael Penix Jr | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jayden Daniels | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Myles Garrett | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Christian McCaffrey compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Saquon Barkley compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Cam Ward | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| JJ McCarthy | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jonathan Taylor | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Justin Jefferson compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
9 more outcomes are priced on Kalshi: the full board on Kalshi (opens in a new tab).
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 29¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Kalshi vs Polymarket on this question
The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 30¢ | 71¢ | 0.6¢ | $246 | $7K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 29¢cheapest to buy | 72¢ | 1.4¢ | $4K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Will Josh Allen win the MVP?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Mar 14, 2027.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Is Kalshi safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 29¢ for Josh Allen right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
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CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on MVP?
On Kalshi, the favourite is Josh Allen, at 29%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.