Kalshi MVP odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is Josh Allen, at 24%. The market settles by Mar 14, 2027, and $638K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 24¢ reads as a 24% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $20, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Offer terms
Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page
Kalshi · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket: 4 questions compared ↓
Kalshi odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen compare | 24% | 24¢ | $14K | Trade |
| Brock Purdy compare | 20% | 20¢ | $37K | Trade |
| Patrick Mahomes | 11% | 11¢ | $16K | Trade |
| Lamar Jackson | 9% | 9¢ | $97K | Trade |
| Trevor Lawrence | 7% | 7¢ | $11K | Trade |
| Dak Prescott | 6% | 6¢ | $51K | Trade |
| Joe Burrow | 5% | 5¢ | $7K | Trade |
| Bryce Young | 3% | 3¢ | $136K | Trade |
| Tyler Shough | 3% | 3¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Matthew Stafford | 3% | 3¢ | $3K | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 2% | 2¢ | $38K | Trade |
| Drake Maye | 2% | 2¢ | $10K | Trade |
| Caleb Williams compare | 2% | 2¢ | $8K | Trade |
| Jordan Love | 2% | 2¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 1% | 1¢ | $120K | Trade |
| Kenneth Walker | 1% | 1¢ | $70K | Trade |
| Bijan Robinson | 1% | 1¢ | $7K | Trade |
| Jared Goff | 1% | 1¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Jalen Hurts | 1% | 1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| CJ Stroud | 1% | 1¢ | $833 | Trade |
| Bo Nix | 1% | 1¢ | $475 | Trade |
| CeeDee Lamb | 1% | 1¢ | $447 | Trade |
| Kyler Murray | 1% | 1¢ | $187 | Trade |
| Deshaun Watson | 1% | 1¢ | $94 | Trade |
| Jayden Daniels | 1% | 1¢ | $76 | Trade |
| Justin Herbert | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jaxson Dart compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Baker Mayfield | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Daniel Jones | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sam Darnold | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Aaron Rodgers | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Myles Garrett | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Christian McCaffrey | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Saquon Barkley | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Cam Ward | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Michael Penix Jr | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| JJ McCarthy | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Derrick Henry | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jonathan Taylor | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Justin Jefferson | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
8 more outcomes are priced on Kalshi: the full board on Kalshi (opens in a new tab).
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 24¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Kalshi vs Polymarket on these questions
The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 21¢cheapest to buy | 79¢ | 0.5¢ | $2K | $8K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 24¢ | 76¢ | 1.3¢ | $14K | – | Trade → |
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 22¢ | 78¢ | 0.5¢ | $1K | $9K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 20¢cheapest to buy | 80¢ | 1.1¢ | $37K | – | Trade → |
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3¢ | 97¢ | 0.1¢ | $3K | $28K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 2¢cheapest to buy | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $8K | – | Trade → |
Will Jaxson Dart win the 2026 NFL MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | <1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | $18K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 1¢ | 99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Will Josh Allen win the MVP?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Mar 14, 2027.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 24¢ for Josh Allen right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $20, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Offer terms
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
More NFL markets
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Mar 31, 2027
$5.0M in 24h, both venues
Falcons vs. Saints
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 5, 2026
$1.3M in 24h, both venues
Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Mar 31, 2027
$480K in 24h, both venues
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 8, 2026
$196K in 24h, both venues
Bears vs. Packers
Polymarket · resolves Oct 11, 2026
$13K in 24h on Polymarket
Ravens vs. Falcons
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 11, 2026
$57K in 24h, both venues
Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on MVP?
On Kalshi, the favourite is Josh Allen, at 24%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. The 4 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.