Kalshi market

Kalshi AFC Championship odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Buffalo Bills, at 20%. The market settles by Feb 8, 2027, and $640K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 20¢ reads as a 20% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Kalshi

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Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Buffalo Bills20%
Kansas City Chiefs17%
Baltimore Ravens16%
Jacksonville Jaguars12%
Denver Broncos9%

All 16 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Polymarket: 6 questions compared ↓

$640K
24h volume on Kalshi
$10.6M
total volume on Kalshi
$8.8M
open interest
Feb 8, 2027
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of AFC Championship
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Buffalo Bills20%20¢$13KTrade
Kansas City Chiefs compare 17%17¢$121KTrade
Baltimore Ravens16%16¢$6KTrade
Jacksonville Jaguars compare 12%12¢$160KTrade
Denver Broncos9%9¢$11KTrade
Cincinnati Bengals9%9¢$4KTrade
New England Patriots compare 6%6¢$156KTrade
Las Vegas Raiders3%3¢$77KTrade
Cleveland Browns compare 3%3¢$32KTrade
Houston Texans3%3¢$27KTrade
Show 6 more outcomes
Kalshi odds on each outcome of AFC Championship
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Pittsburgh Steelers2%2¢$2KTrade
Indianapolis Colts compare 2%2¢$921Trade
Los Angeles Chargers1%1¢$31KTrade
Miami Dolphins1%1¢$93Trade
New York Jets1%1¢$0Trade
Tennessee Titans compare 1%1¢$0Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 20¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on these questions

The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Yes: Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
Polymarket19¢81¢0.5¢$3K$89KTrade →
Kalshi17¢cheapest to buy83¢1.0¢$121K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket's is its international book, Polymarket US charges its own.

Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Yes: Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
Polymarket11¢cheapest to buy89¢0.3¢$2K$95KTrade →
Kalshi12¢88¢0.7¢$160K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket's is its international book, Polymarket US charges its own.

Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Yes: Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
Polymarket7¢93¢0.2¢$3K$74KTrade →
Kalshi6¢cheapest to buy94¢0.4¢$156K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket's is its international book, Polymarket US charges its own.

Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Yes: Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
Polymarket2¢cheapest to buy98¢0.1¢$17$30KTrade →
Kalshi3¢97¢0.2¢$32K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket's is its international book, Polymarket US charges its own.

Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Yes: Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
Polymarket2¢98¢<0.1¢$3K$37KTrade →
Kalshi2¢98¢0.1¢$921–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket's is its international book, Polymarket US charges its own.

Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Yes: Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
Polymarket<1¢>99¢<0.1¢$0$59KTrade →
Kalshi1¢99¢<0.1¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket's is its international book, Polymarket US charges its own.

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Buffalo Bills
20%▼ 2.5 pts since Sep 28
Yes price
Sep 2814% – 30% scaleOct 5

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Buffalo Bills win the Pro Football AFC Championship?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Feb 8, 2027.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 20¢ for Buffalo Bills right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on AFC Championship?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Buffalo Bills, at 20%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. The 6 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.