Kalshi Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027 odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is Drew Mestemaker, at 34%. The market settles by May 15, 2027, and $4K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 34¢ reads as a 34% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
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Kalshi · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket: compare both
Kalshi odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mestemaker | 34% | 34¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Jeremiah Smith | 29% | 29¢ | $1K | Trade |
| CJ Carr | 11% | 11¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 8% | 8¢ | $121 | Trade |
| Arch Manning compare | 8% | 8¢ | $101 | Trade |
| Darian Mensah | 6% | 6¢ | $99 | Trade |
| Dante Moore | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| LaNorris Sellers | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jayden Maiava | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Julian Sayin | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 12 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Simmons | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Dylan Stewart | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sam Leavitt | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| John Mateer | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Nico Iamaleava | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Cam Coleman | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Ryan Williams | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| DJ Lagway | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jordan Seaton | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Quincy Rhodes Jr. | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Leonard Moore | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Lincoln Kienholz | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 34¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Kalshi vs Polymarket on this question
The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 11¢ | 89¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | $11K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 8¢cheapest to buy | 93¢ | 0.5¢ | $101 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Who will be picked 1st in the Pro Football Draft?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: May 15, 2027.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 34¢ for Drew Mestemaker right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
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Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027?
On Kalshi, the favourite is Drew Mestemaker, at 34%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.