Kalshi market

Kalshi Serie A Top 4 Finishers odds

On Kalshi, the busiest line, Roma, is at 73%. The market settles by Jun 13, 2027, and $37 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 73¢ reads as a 73% chance. Polymarket and Polymarket US list it too, and we compare the prices below.

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Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Roma73%
Napoli37%
Milan62%
Como57%
Juventus47%

All 20 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US: 2 questions compared ↓

$37
24h volume on Kalshi
$2K
total volume on Kalshi
$726
open interest
Jun 13, 2027
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Serie A Top 4 Finishers
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Roma73%73¢$12Trade
Napoli37%37¢$5Trade
Milan62%62¢$0Trade
Como57%57¢$0Trade
Juventus compare 47%47¢$0Trade
Atalanta16%16¢$0Trade
Bologna5%5¢$0Trade
Frosinone5%5¢$0Trade
Udinese4%4¢$0Trade
Cagliari4%4¢$0Trade
Show 10 more outcomes
Kalshi odds on each outcome of Serie A Top 4 Finishers
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Torino4%4¢$0Trade
Sassuolo4%4¢$0Trade
Genoa4%4¢$0Trade
Fiorentina4%4¢$0Trade
Parma Calcio4%4¢$0Trade
Lecce4%4¢$0Trade
Venezia4%4¢$0Trade
Monza4%4¢$0Trade
Inter99%99¢$7Trade
Lazio compare 32%32¢$13Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 73¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on these questions

The same questions on each venue: Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?

Yes: Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents43¢58¢1.2¢$40$3KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only49¢52¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus47¢53¢1.7¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?

Yes: Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents39¢61¢1.2¢$150$670Trade →
Polymarket USUS residents only40¢61¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus32¢68¢1.5¢$13–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Roma
73%▲ 8.0 pts since Oct 25
Yes price
Oct 2565% – 82% scaleOct 26

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Jun 13, 2027.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Is Kalshi safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 73¢ for Roma right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on Serie A Top 4 Finishers?

On Kalshi, the busiest line, Roma, is at 73%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. The 2 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.