Polymarket market

Polymarket Serie A Top 4 Finishers (2026-27) odds

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Lazio, is at 39%. The market settles by Jun 13, 2027, and $276 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 39¢ reads as a 39% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Lazio39%
Juventus43%
Napoli29%
Inter Milan95%
Monza4%

All 20 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: 2 questions compared ↓

$276
24h volume on Polymarket
$42K
total volume on Polymarket
20
open of 20 outcomes
Jun 13, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Serie A Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Lazio compare 39%39¢$150Trade
Juventus compare 43%43¢$40Trade
Napoli29%29¢$40Trade
Inter Milan95%95¢$17Trade
Monza4%4¢$8Trade
Roma78%78¢$0Trade
AC Milan60%60¢$0Trade
Como49%49¢$0Trade
Atalanta6%6¢$0Trade
Genoa4%4¢$0Trade
Show 10 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of Serie A Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Sassuolo4%4¢$0Trade
Fiorentina4%4¢$0Trade
Frosinone2%2¢$21Trade
Lecce3%3¢$0Trade
Parma3%3¢$0Trade
Torino2%2¢$0Trade
Cagliari2%2¢$0Trade
Udinese2%2¢$0Trade
Venezia2%2¢$0Trade
Bologna2%2¢$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 39¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions

The same questions on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?

Yes: Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents43¢cheapest to buy58¢1.2¢$40$3KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only49¢52¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus45¢cheapest to buy55¢1.7¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?

Yes: Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents39¢61¢1.2¢$150$670Trade →
Polymarket USUS residents only40¢61¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus32¢68¢1.5¢$13–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Lazio
39%▲ 12.2 pts since Oct 19
Yes price
Oct 1910% – 41% scaleOct 26

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 4 (positions 1 through 4) of the final standings of the 2026-27 Serie A season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season (e.g., they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), this market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie for the final top-4 position, this market will resolve based on the clubs officially recognized by Serie A as finishing in the top 4 of the final standings.

If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no final standings declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: May 30, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 39¢ for Lazio right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on Serie A Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)?

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Lazio, is at 39%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 2 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.