Kalshi marketStarts Sat, Nov 14, 5:00pm ET

Kalshi UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims) odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Donte Johnson, at 65%. The market settles by Nov 14, 2026, and $45K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 65¢ reads as a 65% chance. Polymarket and Polymarket US list it too, and we compare the prices below.

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$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Donte Johnson65%
Cesar Almeida37%

Also priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US: compare them

$45K
24h volume on Kalshi
$122K
total volume on Kalshi
$90K
open interest
Nov 14, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Donte Johnson compare 65%65¢$14KTrade
Cesar Almeida compare 37%37¢$31KTrade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 65¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on this match

The same match on each venue: Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Cesar Almeida: UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims): price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueCesar AlmeidaDonte JohnsonFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents35¢cheapest to buy66¢1.1¢$71K$103KTrade →
Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only36¢cheapest to buy65¢cheapest to buy1.6–2.2¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus37¢65¢cheapest to buy1.6¢$45K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 to 0.095 × price × (1 − price) to takers, by 30-day volume, and nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Donte Johnson
65%▲ 0.5 pts since Nov 8
Yes price
Nov 856% – 70% scaleNov 14

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The contract is “Donte Johnson wins”. A Yes contract pays $1 if the answer is yes, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Nov 14, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi app review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 65¢ for Donte Johnson right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Donte Johnson, at 65%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.