Polymarket market

Polymarket LaLiga: Teams relegated (2026-27) odds

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Getafe, is at 30%. The market settles by Jun 30, 2027, and $959 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 30¢ reads as a 30% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Getafe30%
Elche31%
Valencia21%
Racing Santander43%
Espanyol33%

All 19 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

$959
24h volume on Polymarket
$26K
total volume on Polymarket
16
open of 19 outcomes
Jun 30, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of LaLiga: Teams relegated (2026-27)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Getafe30%30¢$347Trade
Elche31%31¢$281Trade
Valencia21%21¢$126Trade
Racing Santander43%43¢$111Trade
Espanyol33%33¢$63Trade
Real Sociedad3%3¢$31Trade
Málaga compare 67%67¢$0Trade
Deportivo La Coruña24%24¢$0Trade
Levante21%21¢$0Trade
Osasuna21%21¢$0Trade
Show 9 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of LaLiga: Teams relegated (2026-27)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Alavés14%14¢$0Trade
Sevilla5%5¢$0Trade
Celta Vigo4%4¢$0Trade
Real Madrid3%3¢$0Trade
Barcelona2%2¢$0Trade
Atlético Madrid<1%<1¢$0Trade
Real Betis––$0Trade
Athletic Bilbao––$0Trade
Rayo Vallecano––$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 30¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question

The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents67¢33¢1.1¢$0$2KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus57¢43¢1.7¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Getafe
30%▲ 3.0 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1824% – 35% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from LaLiga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 LaLiga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in LaLiga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 LaLiga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by LaLiga.

If the 2026-27 LaLiga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from LaLiga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Jun 30, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 30¢ for Getafe right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on LaLiga: Teams relegated (2026-27)?

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Getafe, is at 30%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.