FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF odds, Oct 25

62%
Favourite: FC Barcelona

Consensus across 3 venues · Updated

Markets price FC Barcelona 62%, a draw 16%, Real Madrid CF 24%, with 3 venues quoting each result. Kickoff Sun, Oct 25, 4:00pm ET. Each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.

This match on Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi.

$6.7M
24h volume on Polymarket and Kalshi (Polymarket US publishes none)
3
venues quoting
Sun, Oct 25, 4:00pm ET
kickoff

Odds by venue

FC Barcelona · Will FC Barcelona win on Oct 25, 2026?

FC Barcelona: Will FC Barcelona win on Oct 25, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents62¢cheapest to buy39¢1.2¢$1.0M$747KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only63¢38¢1.6¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus62¢cheapest to buy39¢1.7¢$1.4M–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Draw · Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Draw: Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents16¢85¢0.7¢$132K$1.4MTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only16¢85¢0.9¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus16¢85¢0.9¢$304K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Real Madrid CF · Will Real Madrid CF win on Oct 25, 2026?

Real Madrid CF: Will Real Madrid CF win on Oct 25, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents24¢cheapest to buy77¢0.9¢$1.2M$857KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only24¢cheapest to buy77¢1.2¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus25¢76¢1.3¢$2.7M–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · FC Barcelona
62%▼ 4.0 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1856% – 69% scaleOct 25

One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.

What the market is actually pricing

Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.

Polymarket

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 25, 2026 If FC Barcelona wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Full settlement wording

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 25, 2026 If FC Barcelona wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket US

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid CF La Liga match scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET (as of the listing of…

Full settlement wording

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid CF La Liga match scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from La Liga.

Kalshi

If Barcelona wins the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties),…

The following market refers to the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Where you can trade this

The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.

Related markets

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Common questions

What are the odds on "FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF"?

Markets price FC Barcelona 62%, a draw 16%, Real Madrid CF 24% across 3 venues: market-implied probabilities rather than forecasts.

Where can I trade "FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF"?

On Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. Polymarket US takes US residents only; from the US, polymarket.com is close-only. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.