Polymarket Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Feb 28, 2027, is at 54%. The market settles by Jun 30, 2027, and $309 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 54¢ reads as a 54% chance.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 54¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager.
The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier.
If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Feb 28, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 54¢ for Feb 28, 2027 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Feb 28, 2027, is at 54%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.